The reason behind the recommendation

To come up with a recommendation I used:

• Publicly available riding-level opinion polls data. Latest polls take precedence as the long as the poll result is higher than the margin of error
• 2011 election results, if supported by threehundredeight.com projections
• When threehundredeight.com projections conflicts with 2011 election results, I review previous election results (2000, 2004, 2006 and 2008) for the riding voting trend and the reason behind the conflict. This is especially important with the surge in support for the Liberals to levels not seen since the 2006 election results

If the chart does not explain the recommendation, please check the "Comments" field.