Updates and Changes

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I will use this page as a record of all updates and recommendation changes and the reasons behind each change.

Thursday Sept. 23rd: today I updated the recommendation for the following ridings:

  • Edmonton Centre from Liberal to NDP
  • Edmonton West from NDP to Liberal
  • Vancouver Granville from Liberal to NDP
  • Sault Ste. Marie from NDP to Liberal
  • Cambridge from NDP to Liberal
  • Central Nova from NDP to Liberal
  • Saint John--Rothesay from NDP to Liberal
The changes are reflection of the:
  • Alberta Federation of Labour (AFL) poll conducted between September 15 and 18, 2015 by Environics, you access the survey results here.
  • LeadNow poll conducted between September 18 and 21, 2015 by Environics, you access the survey results here.

Thursday Oct. 1st: today I updated the recommendation for the following riding(s):

  • Fort McMurray--Cold Lake from NDP to Liberal, added to the Swing Districts list
  • Added Burnaby North--Seymour to the swing list, tight race between NDP and the Conservatives
The changes are reflection of the:
  • Mainstreet Research poll conducted on September 10, you access the survey results here.
  • Insights West poll for the Dogwood Initiative, conducted between September 9 to 13, you access the survey results here.

 

Saturday Oct. 3rd: Updates for today:

  • Renfrew--Nipissing--Pembroke from Liberal to Independent
  • Added Pontiac and Montmagny--L'Islet--Kamouraska--Rivière-du-Loup to the swing list, tight race between NDP and the Conservatives
The changes are reflection of the:
  • The independent candidate has the best chance to win this riding for progressives. He came in second in 2011 election, and is ahead in threehundredeight.com projection. This website database does not have the independent candidate 2011 election numbers but could be found here.
  • In 2011 the NDP won both ridings, but it a tight race now, check threehundredeight.com .

 

Wednesday Oct. 7th: Updates for today:

  • Kelowna--Lake Country from NDP to Liberal, added to the Swing Districts list
  • Vancouver Granville from NDP to Vote your preference
  • Calgary Heritage from NDP to Liberal
  • Calgary Shepard from NDP to Liberal
  • Edmonton Mill Woods from NDP to Liberal
  • Edmonton Riverbend from NDP to Liberal
  • Medicine Hat--Cardston--Warner from NDP to Liberal
  • Sherwood Park--Fort Saskatchewan from NDP to Liberal
  • St. Albert–Edmonton from NDP to Liberal
  • Churchill--Keewatinook Aski from NDP to Vote your preference
  • Beaches--East York from NDP to Vote your preference
  • Flamborough--Glanbrook from NDP to Liberal
  • Hamilton West--Ancaster--Dundas added to the Swing Districts list
  • Hastings--Lennox and Addington from NDP to Liberal
  • Kenora from NDP to Liberal
  • Kitchener South--Hespeler from NDP to Liberal
  • Parkdale--High Park from NDP to Vote your preference
  • Scarborough North from NDP to Liberal
  • Alfred-Pellan from NDP to Vote your preference
  • Bourassa from Liberal to Vote your preference
  • Gaspésie--Îles-de-la-Madeleine from NDP to Liberal
  • Vimy from NDP to Vote your preference
  • South Shore--St. Margaret's from NDP to Liberal
  • New Brunswick Southwest from NDP to Liberal
The changes are reflection of the:
  • The slide in the NDP support and the surge in the Liberal support, please check threehundredeight.com
  • I switched ridings where the race is mainly between the NDP and the Liberals to Vote your preference